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Business Growth Formula for Calculating the Ideal Pipeline Size


When you first started your business, you were likely focused on just getting as many clients as possible. In the beginning stages, you are just trying to establish yourself and grow a consistent client base. However, as your business expands, you might become aware of a sweet spot: a specific number of clients necessary to cover costs while also putting away enough money to reach business goals. In fact, a frequent question we get from clients is “What is my ideal pipeline size?”

The reality is that the ideal pipeline size for your business will depend on your business goals. While that seems abstract, we have a formula that can give you a very specific concrete answer to your questions.

Calculating Your Ideal Pipeline Size

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To begin calculating your ideal pipeline size, you first need to know your average sales cycle. The average sales cycle is the time it takes a deal to enter your sales funnel to the point at which work begins. If you haven’t begun tracking this metric, it’s an important first step in making plans for business growth. You will need to use a dedicated resource to find your average sales cycle. Many of our clients use HubSpot or Pipe Drive, but there are many other CRM systems that can track this metric.

Next, you will need to calculate average contract length. This is the number of days that your client contracts last. The average contract length metric is important because it will tell you how quickly you can turn revenue out for a specific period of time.

After you’ve calculated your average contract length, you will need to determine the close percentage. There’s two pieces of information required to calculate the close percentage: number of closed qualified opportunities and the number of qualified opportunities. Once you have these numbers, you will take that first number and divide by the second (# of closed qualified opportunities/# of qualified opportunities).

The final step is to calculate your actual ideal pipeline size using the other metrics you just collected. Take revenue capacity x (average sales cycle/days remaining in the period) x (average contract length/days in the period). Then, divide this new number by number of qualified opportunities.

This is your current ideal pipeline size. However, you might be wondering how you would go about calculating pipeline size based on a future revenue goal. To do this, all you will need to do is put this revenue goal in the revenue capacity slot of the formula. You will also adjust the days in period for the time in which you would like to make that goal revenue.

Planning Your Business Goals

Making a plan to grow your business involves settings KPIs to measure progress. While an ideal pipeline size might be one KPI to keep your eyes on and adjust where necessary (by changing marketing strategies, sales strategies, etc.), there are other metrics and strategies to use. Scenario planning with a solid dynamic forecast and cash flow management are two examples of other important tools necessary to make business growth plans possible.

If you need assistance making a business growth plan, reach out to one of our virtual CFOs for a free Virtual CFO services consultation.

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