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A321neo continues upward market share; good luck hitting rate 14/mo for the A220


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By Scott Hamilton

Jan. 20, 2025, © Leeham News: The A321neo continues its climb as the dominant single-aisle airplane in the Airbus family.

Given Boeing’s continued inability to deliver its 737 MAX singles aisles at pre-grounding rates in early 2019 and the inability to certify and deliver the MAX 7 and MAX 10, comparisons are irrelevant.

The A321neo became Airbus’ dominant narrowbody aircraft in 2023. The upward trajectory gained momentum last year. The A321 is compared with the A320neo, the largely irrelevant A319neo, and the A220. A220 deliveries are overwhelmingly for the -300 model, with the -100 model, like the A319, largely irrelevant.

Figure 1. Deliveries of the A321 are now dominant across all Airbus single-aisle airplanes. Source: Leeham News.

Airbus wants to increase production of the A320 family to 75 per month by 2027. It has studied boosting rates to 83 per month. Supply chain and engine delivery constraints caused Airbus to push the 75 rate to the right. There is no projected date for increasing to rate 83.

Airbus also wants to increase production of the A220 to 14/mo next year. Supply chain and engine delivery issues have also hurt boosting rates. Regardless, the goal of 14/mo next year seems unrealistic, given the current rate, which is believed to be around six or seven a month.

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