September 2026 – Rehana William |Financial Consultant _Forex_Gold Xauusd| Fund Manager
EURUSD Monthly Forecast: September 2026
During the month of August, the Euro has been rising against the US dollar, as most currencies have. However, there are a few things about the European Union that could make it a bit different than other regions.
EUR/USD
During the month of August, we’ve seen the Euro rally as the overall attitude of the US dollar has been fairly negative. That being said, this is a market that had bounced off of the 1.14 level, an area that was significant support going back over a year, and since we have rallied from there, it looks very much like a market that continues to see a range play out. This is typical for this pair, as it is so heavily traded, not only from speculation points of view, but necessary transactions as well.
That being said, we are not at the top of the range, and that’s closer to the 1.1850 level. That is a major ceiling, and if we were to break above there, it’s a very bullish sign. But I don’t know that the Euro has that ability unless, of course, we see the US dollar falling around the world. If that’s the case, then it’s likely that we will continue to see a lot of hesitation to simply break through.
Central Bank Policies and Geopolitical Risks
Ultimately, this is a market that will continue to pay close attention to the Federal Reserve and its monetary policy, but it’s also worth noting that the European Central Bank is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points. But with this being the case, you also have to pay close attention to the energy situation in the Middle East, because quite frankly, Germany’s very sensitive to this.
And if it looks like oil is not going to be flowing out of the Persian Gulf, that could be disastrous for Germany, as well as the natural gas fields in Qatar. If that gets cut off, it’s going to increase the major input cost for Germany and, by extension, would cripple the European economy. The month of September could be crucial, but right now, as things stand, we’re basically in the middle of a larger range. This means we are neutral, but there are a few things, mentioned previously, that could make this market move a bit more than we have seen over the last few weeks.
GBPUSD Monthly Forecast: September 2026
British pound has been bullish over the last few weeks, as we are looking to see whether or not we can break out of a larger range. At this point, the markets will continue to pay attention to the Federal Reserve.
GBP/USD
British pound has been bullish against the US dollar during the month of August as the bets on the Federal Reserve keeping tight monetary policy or, for that matter, tightening monetary policy continues to drop. Ultimately though, when you look at this pair going back to the month of May in 2025, this range has been defined by the 1.32 level on the bottom and the 1.37 level on the top.
Ultimately, we are in an area of inflection, and we will have to determine whether or not we are going to continue to see more of the same or a breakout to the upside. Ultimately, it’s signs of exhaustion, and if we were to break down below the 1.35 level, then I think you have a situation where the British pound probably drops towards the 1.32 level again.
Range Boundaries and Monetary Policy Divergence
On the other hand, if we get a weekly close outside of the 1.37 level, then we could see a move towards the 1.40 level, but that will almost certainly be in line with the US dollar shrinking everywhere else. This has been a strong move to the upside over the last couple of months, but again, we still have this major ceiling above. This is an area that I think continues to see this area as a major factor for technical traders.
Interest rates continue to be fairly high in the United States, but they are higher in the United Kingdom as things stand right now. This is an area that I’m watching very closely, in the form of 1.37, and I think that probably tells you the overall outlook for the next couple of months. This will be an interesting pair for the month of September, and one that could give a lot of signals for other currency pairs as well.
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